ICT Industry Analysis


PREDICT 2015 REPORT: An Analysis of ICT R&D in the EU and Beyond

The 2015 PREDICT report provides a detailed quantitative analysis of the state of the Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) sector and its Research and Development (R&D) in the European Union and beyond.

This analysis was carried out by the Information Society Unit of the Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS), with assistance of the Valencian Institute of Economic Research (Ivie), under the PREDICT project (Prospective Insights on R&D in ICT). PREDICT is being run by JRC-IPTS for the Directorate General for Communications Networks, Content and Technology (DG CONNECT) of the European Commission. The analysis first provides an overview of the importance of the EU ICT Sector and its R&D. It then gives detailed information, by ICT manufacturing and service sub sectors and by EU Member State, and in comparison with other non‐EU economies that are currently taking the lead in the world economy, including both developed and emerging economies.

  • Complete Report (in pdf format)
  • Executive summary (in pdf format - coming soon)

Online version

To access the online version please click on the blue boxes below to jump to the specific report section. Image Map

gboard comparison non-EU countries Image Map

The PREDICT 2015 dataset is based on the latest available data from official sources such as the Statistical Office of the European Communities (Eurostat) and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) covering the period 2006-2011. The data is prepared using the NACE Rev 2 definition of the ICT sector (OECD, 2007) which is based on the International Standard Industry Classification (ISIC 4).  Depending on the specific section of the report, a comprehensive or an operational definition is applied in order to compare the EU Member States with each other, and to compare the EU with other economies.  Moreover, the missing data have been filled in by applying statistical methods explained in the methodological notes.

There might be differences between PREDICT and the original data which mainly due to:

  • New updating of the original data making it difficult to keeping the track on a roll-on basis.
  • The use of several auxiliary sources and variables to achieve a higher level of industrial disaggregation or complete missing data.
  • Adjustments made to estimate homogeneous series following the last EU industrial classification, adopted in 2008 (NACE Rev.2).
  • The use of common variable definitions to achieve a higher degree of comparability among countries (i.e. valuation at basic prices instead of at factor cost).

Therefore, the figures presented in the PREDICT 2015 database may not be directly comparable with those of corresponding indicators published by Eurostat.

Database and Methodological notes

  • To access the ICT Sector Database and Methodological notes click here.
  • The structure of the data is explained in the first sheet of each Excel file. The complete datasets can also be seen here in one single excel file.